Budget Credibility of States in 2019-20

Budget Credibility refers to the government’s ability to meet its expenditure and revenue targets. A government may end up falling short of its targets, or it may overshoot them. When there is a gap between the expenditure that was planned and what was eventually carried out, it may suggest a change in priorities, or issues in planning and implementation. Sometimes gaps may result from external shocks and crises, causing budgets to be reprioritised, or spending to be curtailed or increased. Over time, a lack of budget credibility or persisting gaps between estimates and actual spending, may have adverse effects for certain sectors, schemes/programmes and target population groups, particularly disadvantaged groups. The metric here shows an illustration of budget credibility across States in 2019-20. For most States, actual spending (A) was lower than Budget Estimates (BE). The gap between A and BE ranges from -2.4% to -33%.

Hover over the State, or tap on it, to see value of the indicator

Source: Budget at a Glance/Budget Brief/Budget Summary

Notes:
1: Sikkim and Arunachal Pradesh are not included here as the relevant budget data was not available at the time of compilation.
2: For Assam, Tamil Nadu and Mizoram, total expenditure has been taken from the respective Annual Financial Statement.
3: For Tamil Nadu and West Bengal, the budget documents referred to for FY 2021-22 are from the Vote on Account.
4: Four states (Telangana, Mizoram, Manipur and Nagaland) overspent their budgets: (Actuals (A) were greater than Budget Estimates (BE)). All other States underspent their budgets (BE was greater than A).

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Copyright: Centre for Budget and Governance Accountability (CBGA) 2021

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